Express Pharma

‘’DPCO 2013 will equally affect domestic as well multinational pharma companies’’

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The DPCO 2013 aims to put in place a regulatory framework for pricing of drugs so as to ensure availability of ‘essential medicines’ at reasonable prices to end consumers. Based on their extensive databases, deep insights and knowledge of the pharma market, an expert team from IMS Health has deep dived into this issue and found:

Impact at company level

Companies Most Impacted By DPCO 2013
 MAT ValueValue of NLEM PortfolioContribution of NLEM PortfolioRevised Value of NLEM PortfolioValue ErosionValue Erosion % on Total TO
 Rs CrRs Cr%Rs CrRs Cr%
TOTAL MARKET727621303318%1143715972.2%
GLAXOSMITHKLINE302183728%6711675.5%
ABBOTT5122118923%10351543.0%
RANBAXY301575325%6201334.4%
PFIZER235146220%3441185.0%
ZYDUS CADILA288774926%652963.3%
NOVARTIS INTL.122337331%277967.9%
CIPLA358985424%762922.6%
WIN MEDICARE34615645%926518.7%
ALEMBIC121529724%240574.7%
SANOFI207731415%263512.4%
SUN317436311%317461.4%
WOCKHARDT125223719%195423.3%
DR REDDYS LABS150429620%256372.5%
Source: IMS Health, Total Sales Audit March 2013

 MAT ValueRevised Value PostDPCO 2013 ImplementationValue Erosion
Value ErosionRs CrRs CrRs Cr%
TOTAL MARKET72762711661597
2.2
ACUTE51807506541153
2.2
CHRONIC2095520511444
2.1
Source:IMS Health, Total Sales Audit March 2013

Both local companies and MNCs stand to lose almost equal quantum of sales on account of DPCO 2013 implementation. However as expected, MNCs will be hit relatively harder as compared to local companies on account of their premium priced portfolio. While at an overall level, local companies would lose ~1.6 per cent of their current revenue, MNCs are likely to see ~3.7 per cent erosion in their sales.

Impact at therapy level

Impact Of DPCO 2013 On Therapies
Impact Of DPCO 2013 On TherapiesMAT ValueRevised Value Post DPCO 2013 ImplementationValue Erosion
Value Erosion
Rs Cr
Rs Cr
Rs Cr
%
Total Market72762711661597
2.2
Anti-infectives1189211420472
4.0
Cardiac85058246259
3.0
Gastro Intestinal76137476137
1.8
Neuro / CNS43224206117
2.7
Dermatology40123907106
2.6
Gynaecology4073398589
2.2
Pain / Analgesics5936585581
1.4
Vaccines1387130978
5.6
Hormones1285121471
5.5
Anti Diabetic5000494259
1.2
Respiratory5711568031
0.5
Blood Related77174328
3.7
Source: IMS Health, Total Sales Audit March 2013

Impact Of DPCO 2013 On Formulations Listed Under NLEM 2011
 MAT ValueRevised Value Post DPCO 2013 ImplementationValue Erosion
Value ErosionRs CrRs CrRs Cr%
Total Market727627116615972.2%
Amoxicillin Trihydrate + Clavulinic Acid Potassium Salt Tablets 625mg6385409815.0%
Atorvastatin Tablets 10 mg3653105415.0%
Ciprofloxacin Hydrochloride Tablets 500 mg2311795222.0%
Omeprazole Capsules 20 mg2131664722.0%
Azithromycin Tablets 500mg3012554615.0%
Povidone Iodine Ointment 5%106664038.0%
Premix Insulin 30:70 injection Injection 40IU/ml-SR/CR/XR3613243710.0%
Povidone Iodine Solution 5%84503441.0%
Levothyroxine Tablets 50µg82513137.0%
Hepatitis B Vaccine Injection69392943.0%
Tetanus Toxoid Injection79502836.0%
Folic Acid Tablets 5 mg101722828%
Source: IMS Health, Total Sales Audit March 2013

The impact of DPCO 2013 implementation on acute and chronic therapies is almost identical. Both segments are likely to witness a drop in annual revenue of ~2.1 to 2.2 per cent. However, patients on chronic therapies who are currently using those packs listed under NLEM 2011 and which are currently above ceiling price, will benefit more in the long term.

Amit Backliwal, Managing Director, IMS Health — South Asia

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